Wednesday, November 19, 2008

It's All Over But the Seeding: The American Conference Playoff Picture

With the exception of the ever-changing 4th seed, the playoff picture is pretty much settled in the American Conference, and even that 4th spot looks a little more secure with the Ulcerations nearly 200-point outing last week. Below is a breakdown of the current American Conference playoff picture going into the final two weeks.

Wings of Pastrami – This team has secured a playoff spot and currently has the #1 seed. There are a number of scenarios that could put them anywhere from the 1 seed to the 3 seed. Their magic number to clinch the #1 seed over Dan is 2, while their magic number over Kent is 1.

Most intriguing remaining matchup: None, really. The Week 12 matchup against EGB puts some divisional bragging rights on the line, but not much at stake from the WOP’s standpoint.

Avalon Park Assassins – Has a playoff spot secured and can do no worse than the #2 seed courtesy of its divisional title. The team could regain the #1 seed if it finishes with a better 2-game record in the last two weeks than WOP.

Most intriguing remaining matchup: Week 13 against the Ramas. The Ramas are likely in the playoffs no matter what, but there’s a chance a division title could be on the line between two new owners in the National Division 2 as the Molesters try to hang on, so the outcome of the Assassins-Ramas game could be significant.

Hoof Hearted – Has a playoff spot secured and can do no worse than the #3 seed, which it currently occupies. A #1 seed is still possible if the team finishes with a better 2-game record than the Assassins and the WOP. Like the Assassins, this team will be watching the standings rather than the scoreboard the last two weeks.

Most intriguing remaining matchup: None, really. Individual scores and the results will be significant, but nothing really hinges on the individual outcomes of this team’s remaining two games.

Bourne Ulcerations – This team is the current #4 seed based on average score, and is the only team currently in the playoffs to not have a spot sewn up. There is no scenario where this team could get better than the #4 seed. The Ulcers lead EGB by a total of 67.3 points and the Cocks by 118.2 points. Theoretically, these three teams all share playoff hopes. Practically, it’s going to take a big effort by either of the two who are currently on the outside looking in.

Most intriguing remaining matchup: Week 13 against the Cocks. Depending upon the Cocks' performance in Week 12, there’s an outside chance this matchup has playoff implications that hinge on the two teams’ scores rather than the actual W/L result.

Estelle Getty’s Boobs – This team is not currently in, but one big week could change that.

Most intriguing remaining matchup: Week 12 against the WOP. A natural rivalry, with both owners being in Alaska, this matchup is only mildly intriguing. If the Boobs don’t make the playoffs, they can still play spoiler and help sabotage the WOP’s hopes of a #1 seed.

Fighting Cocks – This team is not currently in, and it would take a minor miracle to change this.

Most intriguing matchup remaining: Week 13 against the Ulcerations. As mentioned above, there’s a sliver of a chance that this game has playoff implications. At the very least, there’s a chance this matchup determines who finishes in the division cellar. It should be noted that both of the Cocks' final two games are against divisional opponents, so there's some natural intrigue there.

2 comments:

jgrenn said...

if you lock up the #4 seed, which team would like to face the most? based on matchups, i think kent is most beatable and Hoof Hearted looks tough. I have some sweet matchups (Gus Ferotte versus Det. He had 30 points last time and was 4 yards from the bonus. My 2 RBs face the #20 and #27 ranked rush defs. Moss is versus Seattle and Wayne is versus Cincin and Keller plays SF) but i dont know which D/ST I'll start as none are great (eagles play NYG, colts play Cincin and okaland plays SD) and steve smith plays Tampa Bay (though he did have 112 yards last time against them). The #1 seed would be sweet as that 10 point bonus is gonna be huge!

jgrenn said...

thoughts?